Insecurity limits people's ability to cope with climate shocks Scientists generally agree that climate change does not directly cause armed conflict, but that it may indirectly increase the risk of conflict by exacerbating existing social, economic and environmental factors.įor example, when cattle herders and agricultural farmers are pushed to share diminishing resources due to a changing climate, this can stir tensions in places that lack strong governance and inclusive institutions. Climate change does not directly cause conflict, but. People living in conflict zones are therefore among the most vulnerable to the climate crisis and most neglected by climate action. Rather, it suggests that countries enduring conflict are less able to cope with climate change, precisely because their ability to adapt is weakened by conflict. This is not to say that there is a direct correlation between climate change and conflict. The Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative (ND-Gain) Index looks at a country's vulnerability to climate change and other global challenges, set against its ability to improve resilience. Yemen, Mali, Afghanistan, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Somalia, all of which are dealing with conflict, are among the lowest ranked. Of the 25 countries deemed most vulnerable to climate change, 14 are mired in conflict Here are seven things you need to know: 1. Samuel TURPIN / Humans & Climate Change StoriesĪ new ICRC report, When rain turns to dust, explores how countries enduring conflict are disproportionately affected by climate change and climate variability.* Countries enduring conflict are less able to cope with climate change because their ability to adapt is weakened by conflict.
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